Atlantic Tropical Easterly Wave and Cyclogenesis Forecasting in the Physical and New AI Forecast Systems at ECMWF
Published in Weather and Forecasting, 2026
Assesses the skill of ECMWF physical and AI-based forecast systems in predicting Atlantic tropical waves and tropical cyclogenesis, with implications for operational forecasting improvements.
Recommended citation: Majumdar, S. J., L. Magnusson, Q. A. Lawton, R. Emerton, S. T. K. Lang, M. Maier-Gerber, and D. S. Richardson, 2026: Atlantic Tropical Easterly Wave and Cyclogenesis Forecasting in the Physical and New AI Forecast Systems at ECMWF. Weather and Forecasting, 41(6), 1181–1197. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-25-0200.1
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